✉news BusinessBanking first seen 15 h ago, last 11 h ago, peak #20
Bank of France examines link between forecast uncertainty and accuracy
Original: Does uncertainty surrounding inflation forecasts predict their accuracy?
The Banque de France has published research asking whether uncertainty surrounding inflation forecasts can predict how accurate those forecasts turn out to be. The work matters for central banks and markets, since reliable inflation projections underpin interest rate decisions and expectations management amid ongoing price volatility.
Why now: Inflation forecasting is under scrutiny as central banks and investors weigh rate decisions amid uncertain price conditions.
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Evidence
- Does uncertainty surrounding inflation forecasts predict their accuracy? · Banque de France
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