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Analyst warns Moscow may provoke incidents below NATO's Article 5 threshold

Original: # Andžāns says # Moscow could seek to create ambiguous situations that remain below the threshold of # NATO ’s Article 5

Latvian security analyst Maris Andžāns warns that Moscow could engineer deliberately ambiguous incidents that stay below the threshold triggering NATO's Article 5 collective defence clause, making it harder for allies to agree on a united response. He argues such confusion is precisely what Vladimir Putin wants to achieve — splitting allied decision-making through deniable aggression.

Why now: Ongoing concerns about Russian hybrid provocations against NATO members keep debate alive over how the alliance would respond to ambiguous attacks.

Maris AndžānsNATOMoscowVladimir Putin

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