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✉news BusinessBanking first seen 7 h ago, last 23 min ago, peak #4

Markets weigh a new neutral rate that echoes the past

Original: Morning Bid: A new neutral rate, much like a decades-old one

Reuters' Morning Bid column argues that the Federal Reserve's evolving estimate of the neutral interest rate — the level that neither stimulates nor restrains the economy — looks much like the decades-old consensus, despite talk of a structurally higher rate. Markets are parsing Fed guidance for clues on how far and fast borrowing costs might eventually fall.

Why now: Investors are focused on where the Fed sees the neutral rate as it signals the path of future rate cuts.

Federal ReserveReuters

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