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NOAA says El Niño has 83% chance of historic strength

Original: NOAA gives El Niño an 83% chance of reaching historic strength in late 2026 El Niño strengthened further across the equa

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center reported on October 8 that El Niño strengthened further across the equatorial Pacific in September 2026, giving an 83% chance that the event reaches historic strength during late 2026, based on the October–December Relative Oceanic Niño Index. A powerful El Niño would bring heightened risks of droughts, floods and temperature extremes worldwide, drawing close attention from weather watchers.

Why now: NOAA's new forecast of a potentially historic El Niño raises concerns about extreme global weather impacts.

NOAANOAA Climate Prediction CenterEl NiñoPacific Ocean

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Evidence

• NOAA gives El Niño an 83% chance of reaching historic strength in late 2026 El Niño strengthened further across the equatorial Pacific in September 2026, and NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) said on October 8 that the October–December Relative Oceanic Niño Index (RONI)… · uccawx@m.ai6yr.org · 1

API: https://socialmediatrends-api.osmike.com/v1/trends/1543726