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Poll shows Talarico edging Paxton in Texas Senate race

Original: Texas Polling: Senate: Talarico: 51% Paxton: 49% Governor: Abbott: 52%* Hinojosa: 47% Shaw/Beacon / Sept 28, 2026 (Curre

A new Shaw/Beacon poll of Texas dated September 28, 2026 shows Democrat James Talarico leading Republican Ken Paxton 51% to 49% in the Senate race, while Governor Greg Abbott leads Lupe Hinojosa 52% to 47% in the governor's contest. The pollster's current model puts the Senate race at 51% Democratic to 48% Republican and the governor's race at 51% GOP to 48% Democratic.

Why now: Texas US Senate and gubernatorial races are shaping up as closely contested, and fresh polling suggesting a narrow Democratic lead is drawing attention.

James TalaricoKen PaxtonGreg AbbottLupe HinojosaTexas

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Evidence

• Texas Polling: Senate: Talarico: 51% Paxton: 49% Governor: Abbott: 52%* Hinojosa: 47% Shaw/Beacon / Sept 28, 2026 (Current model result in TX-SEN: DEM 51% - GOP 48%) (Current model result in TX-GOV: GOP 51% - DEM 48%) · USA_Polling · 75

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