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RAND Study Warns European Conventional Gaps Could Fuel Nuclear Escalation

Original: Recent RAND Study: Europe’s Conventional Shortfalls Could Drive Nuclear Escalation

A recent RAND study warns that Europe's shortfalls in conventional military capabilities could push a future conflict toward nuclear escalation. The argument is that if NATO's European members cannot credibly deter or halt a conventional attack with conventional forces, escalation to nuclear weapons becomes more likely. The finding has drawn attention amid ongoing debates over European defence spending and deterrence posture.

Why now: Concerns about European defence readiness and nuclear deterrence are high amid the war in Ukraine and debates over NATO spending.

RAND CorporationEuropeNATO

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