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Daikin Park outfield cable drama: analytics say ball was never a homer

Original: "A fly ball hit at 105mph with a 49° launch angle is only a homerun in Houston’s ballpark. In the entire statcast era, a

A fly ball hit at 105 mph with a 49-degree launch angle would only be a home run at Houston's ballpark, according to meteorologist Sam Kuffel. Across the entire Statcast era, balls hit at that speed and angle carry an expected batting average of .039 and a 0% home run rate, fueling debate over whether a cable or obstruction turned a routine fly ball into a controversial homer.

Why now: Fans are debating a controversial home run at Houston's ballpark that analytics suggest should have been a routine out.

HoustonSam KuffelStatcastDaikin Park

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Evidence

• "A fly ball hit at 105mph with a 49° launch angle is only a homerun in Houston’s ballpark. In the entire statcast era, a ball hit at that angle and speed has an expected batting average of .039 and a 0% homerun rate. Cable or not, it was not going to be a homerun." - Sam Kuffel · 37h3r.net@bsky.brid.gy · 1

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