prediction markets

Donald Trump said the United States will soon 'win' its conflict with Iran, predicting that oil prices will fall once the fighting ends and suggesting fresh strikes could come before the US midterm elections. The comments add to speculation over whether Washington will escalate military action against Tehran, with energy markets and voters watching closely for signs of what happens next.

A court ruling has affected Kalshi, the prediction-market platform that lets users trade event contracts on outcomes such as elections and economic data. The decision could reshape how such contracts are regulated and whether Kalshi can continue offering certain markets. The full details and implications of the ruling have not been reported in the available coverage.

An analyst cited by real estate publication Elite Agent is arguing that predictions of a housing market crash are the wrong call, pushing back against widespread expectations of a sharp downturn. The commentary challenges the bearish consensus on property markets, suggesting fears of a collapse may be overstated despite elevated rates and affordability pressures.