election polling

CNN's senior data reporter Harry Enten has assessed new polling showing President Trump reaching a fresh low in his approval ratings, describing the figures as stunning. The numbers come amid ongoing debate over the administration's agenda, and commentators are weighing how sustained weak approval could affect Trump's standing and the broader political landscape heading into upcoming elections.

A new poll projects France's 2027 presidential election could come down to a run-off between far-right leader Marine Le Pen's camp and hard-left veteran Jean-Luc Melenchon, sidelining President Emmanuel Macron's centrist bloc. Commentators see the projection as a sign of deepening polarisation in French politics, with the mainstream centre at risk of being squeezed out of the second round entirely.

Republicans are publicly distancing themselves from Donald Trump as polling shows weakening support for the party and its candidates. Lawmakers in competitive races are reportedly avoiding campaign appearances with Trump and playing down his influence, reflecting concern within the party that his low approval numbers could drag down their own prospects in upcoming elections.

A new Quaest survey on the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is drawing attention as voters and commentators track early polling ahead of next year's vote. Outlets such as Metrópoles are also noting when the final presidential polls before the first round must be released. The race remains a central topic in Brazilian politics, with names like Lula and Tarcísio de Freitas frequently cited.

Fresh polling in the Texas Senate race is drawing attention as observers weigh the state's political direction ahead of the election. Commenters are sharing and debating the numbers, discussing what they suggest about candidate strength and whether the contest may be tighter than expected in a state long dominated by Republicans.

A new poll ahead of Israel's election shows Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party leading individual parties, while the blocs loyal to Benjamin Netanyahu and the opposition are tied at 52 seats each. The deadlock suggests neither camp could form a governing majority, pointing to another protracted coalition process after the vote.

A new BTG Pactual/Nexus poll shows former Brazilian president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva extending his lead over incumbent Jair Bolsonaro in first-round presidential election projections, while a hypothetical second-round runoff between the two remains very close. The findings underline that Brazil's presidential race is still highly competitive, with neither candidate holding a decisive advantage should the vote go to a runoff.

Marine Le Pen is polling as the frontrunner for France's 2027 presidential election, according to trending reports. Early surveys suggest the far-right Rassemblement National leader holds a lead over potential rivals, months ahead of the vote. Commentators are debating whether she can convert poll numbers into victory after previous near-misses, and how rivals on the mainstream right and left might unite to block her.

CNN data analyst Harry Enten has published a roundup examining key US political storylines, including competitive Senate races, Democratic momentum in state elections, and corruption controversies surrounding Donald Trump. The roundup distills polling and electoral data into a snapshot of the current political landscape. It is drawing strong attention as readers look for a data-driven read on the direction of American politics heading into upcoming contests.

An opinion piece highlights how US election workers are preparing for the midterm elections while also contending with the possibility of confronting armed agents at polling places or election offices. The piece reflects growing anxiety among election officials about intimidation and safety threats as they carry out their duties. It argues that the arrival of armed federal or other agents around election operations could further strain a workforce already under pressure, raising concerns about the conduct and security of the midterms.

Voting is under way in Reggio Calabria, Calabria, and early figures show turnout below 15% after the first day of polling. In the town of Platì, only 2.34% of eligible voters cast a ballot on the first day. The weak participation figures are drawing attention as the municipal election continues, with observers questioning voter engagement in the southern Italian city.

India's Election Commission is facing scrutiny over its drive to verify the country's roughly one billion registered voters. Questions have been raised about the accuracy of the electoral rolls and whether the verification process could remove legitimate voters or affect the fairness of elections. Critics and observers are pressing the poll body for transparency over how the revision is being conducted.

A Guardian-reported poll suggests free speech will be a significant concern for voters at the next UK general election, with many viewing the Labour government's current approach to the issue as bad for Britain. The findings point to free speech becoming an increasingly salient political issue in British electoral politics, drawing attention on social media.

Michigan's US Senate race is narrowing, with Democrat Abdul El-Sayed holding a slim lead over Republican Mike Rogers heading into the campaign's final stretch. The contest, open after Gary Peters announced he would not seek re-election, is seen as critical to Senate control. Commentators point to a competitive race that could flip a seat Democrats need to hold to keep their majority.

Senate Majority Leader John Thune is mapping out the chamber's final run of votes before the midterm elections, Politico reports. The scheduling choices he makes in the coming weeks will determine which priorities reach the floor and which are left until after voters go to the polls, with control of Congress at stake.

With one month to go before Israel's election, a new poll shows the anti-Netanyahu 'change bloc' and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc tied at 52 seats each, according to the Jerusalem Post. The deadlock suggests neither side is positioned to secure a majority in the 120-seat Knesset, keeping the outcome highly uncertain and raising the prospect of another prolonged coalition-building struggle after the vote.

A group associated with former Republican congressman Adam Kinzinger has come out against deploying military personnel at polling sites, adding its voice to concerns about armed forces being involved in election administration. The position feeds a wider debate in the United States over the role of troops in domestic affairs and election security heading into upcoming votes.

A new poll on France's 2027 presidential election suggests no candidate currently manages to unite French voters ahead of a potential second round. The survey is drawing attention as political parties begin positioning themselves well ahead of the vote, with none of the likely contenders commanding broad national support.

New polling commissioned by the civil liberties group Liberty indicates that the Labour Party's approach to free speech could cost it votes at the next UK general election. The findings suggest voter concern over free speech issues may be electorally significant for Labour, though the full details and methodology of the polling have not been widely reported yet.

A new poll shows New Zealand's Green Party at a record high level of support, raising the prospects of a centre-left coalition forming after the country's next election. Stronger Green numbers could prove decisive in whether Labour and its allies can command a parliamentary majority, making the party's surge a key factor in campaign calculations.

A new report argues that prediction markets combined with AI tools are creating a fresh loophole in election polling, allowing forecasts and trading activity to fill gaps left by traditional surveys. It raises questions about how such data is regulated and whether it can be trusted as polls decline in coverage and reliability.

A new poll shows Minogue narrowing the gap with Healey, though Healey remains the favorite heading into the general election. The Boston Herald reports the race is tightening as campaigning continues in Massachusetts, with observers watching whether Minogue's momentum can translate into a genuine challenge to Healey's lead among voters.

The Dallas Morning News has published its recommendations for the 2026 Dallas bond election, which will ask voters to decide on the city's proposed bond package. The newspaper's editorial board outlined which propositions it believes residents should support when they head to the polls. With the election drawing near, voters are looking to endorsements to help navigate the multi-part bond agenda.

Vermont Public has published the full results of its 2026 poll, offering an early look at voter sentiment in the state ahead of the 2026 election cycle. The release gives residents, campaigns and analysts fresh data on where Vermont voters stand on candidates and key issues as the race begins to take shape.

Sullivan County in New York's Hudson Valley is looking to recruit Republican election inspectors to work at polling sites. Election offices regularly need inspectors from both major parties to staff elections, and vacancies can complicate operations. The appeal comes as local boards nationwide continue to report difficulty filling these paid positions ahead of upcoming voting.