election polling

Ukraine launched drone strikes on Moscow on the first day of Russia's presidential election, in which Vladimir Putin is widely expected to secure another term. The attack targeted the Russian capital as polls opened, a symbolic timing choice aimed at undercutting Putin's display of control. Commenters are highlighting the strike as a sign Ukraine can still hit deep inside Russia despite battlefield pressure, and as an attempt to embarrass the Kremlin during the vote.

CNN data analyst Harry Enten is breaking down new poll numbers showing President Trump at his lowest approval ratings yet, calling them 'stunning numbers'. The segment highlights the scale of the decline in his standing and what it could signal for his political position and the broader election landscape.

South Sudan's address to the United Nations General Assembly centred on the country's push to hold its first elections since independence, with the message that the ballot must replace the bullet. The government appealed for peaceful, credible polls as the country prepares for a vote meant to consolidate a fragile peace deal after years of civil war.

Republican lawmakers and candidates are publicly distancing themselves from Donald Trump as polling shows weakening support for the party ahead of elections. Several incumbents in competitive races are avoiding joint appearances with the former president and downplaying their ties to him, a sign of concern that Trump could drag down down-ballot candidates, according to political observers.

A new poll projects France's 2027 presidential election could come down to a run-off between far-right leader Marine Le Pen's camp and hard-left veteran Jean-Luc Melenchon, sidelining President Emmanuel Macron's centrist bloc. Commentators see the projection as a sign of deepening polarisation in French politics, with the mainstream centre at risk of being squeezed out of the second round entirely.

A new Quaest survey on the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is drawing attention as voters and commentators track early polling ahead of next year's vote. Outlets such as Metrópoles are also noting when the final presidential polls before the first round must be released. The race remains a central topic in Brazilian politics, with names like Lula and Tarcísio de Freitas frequently cited.

A new poll shows former Brazilian president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva widening his lead over incumbent Jair Bolsonaro ahead of the first round of the presidential election, though the two remain statistically tied in second-round runoff scenarios. The figures suggest a tight race ahead of the October vote, with neither candidate yet commanding a clear advantage if it goes to a second round.

CNN's Harry Enten has released his latest roundup of US political trends, covering key Senate races, signs of Democratic 'blue wave' energy, and allegations of corruption involving Donald Trump. The roundup ties together polling and data analysis on the themes shaping American politics, drawing heavy engagement as readers track election dynamics heading into the next voting cycle.

A new Israeli election poll puts former war cabinet member Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party ahead in projected seats, while the blocs led by Benjamin Netanyahu and his opponents are tied at 52 Knesset seats each. The figures suggest neither side can form a majority on its own, with Yashar potentially holding the balance of power in the next coalition talks.

News outlets are publishing early coverage of the 2026 United States midterm elections, with a focus on polls for Congress and key races. The coverage signals the start of sustained political attention ahead of the contests that will determine control of the House and Senate during the second half of President Trump's term.

A new BTG Pactual/Nexus poll shows former Brazilian president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva extending his lead over incumbent Jair Bolsonaro in first-round presidential election projections, while a hypothetical second-round runoff between the two remains very close. The findings underline that Brazil's presidential race is still highly competitive, with neither candidate holding a decisive advantage should the vote go to a runoff.

Attention is turning to the 2026 US midterm elections, with analysts assessing which party is best positioned to win control of Congress. Coverage focuses on early polling, competitive Senate and House races, and the political landscape heading into the vote. With control of both chambers potentially at stake, the midterms are shaping up as a key test for both major parties.

A new NBC News poll shows President Donald Trump's approval rating falling to 41% among registered voters, a second-term low, with 55% disapproving. More voters are also criticizing his handling of the economy, a shift that matters as the closely watched midterm elections approach and both parties gauge voter sentiment heading into the campaign season.

India's Election Commission is facing scrutiny over its drive to verify the country's roughly one billion registered voters. Questions have been raised about the accuracy of the electoral rolls and whether the verification process could remove legitimate voters or affect the fairness of elections. Critics and observers are pressing the poll body for transparency over how the revision is being conducted.

Ukraine carried out a record-scale attack on Moscow, leaving parts of the Russian capital ablaze on the day Russians went to the polls. The strike, described as the largest of its kind, is drawing wide attention as a bold escalation in the war and a pointed message timed to Russia's election day.

A new poll on France's 2027 presidential election suggests no candidate currently manages to unite French voters ahead of a potential second round. The survey is drawing attention as political parties begin positioning themselves well ahead of the vote, with none of the likely contenders commanding broad national support.

With one month to go before Israel's election, a new poll shows the anti-Netanyahu 'change bloc' and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc tied at 52 seats each, according to the Jerusalem Post. The deadlock suggests neither side is positioned to secure a majority in the 120-seat Knesset, keeping the outcome highly uncertain and raising the prospect of another prolonged coalition-building struggle after the vote.

Marine Le Pen is polling as the frontrunner for France's 2027 presidential election, according to trending reports. Early surveys suggest the far-right Rassemblement National leader holds a lead over potential rivals, months ahead of the vote. Commentators are debating whether she can convert poll numbers into victory after previous near-misses, and how rivals on the mainstream right and left might unite to block her.

As the US midterm elections approach, election workers are preparing not just for the usual logistics but for the possibility of armed agents appearing at their offices. Opinion commentary warns that federal or armed intervention at election sites could intimidate staff and disrupt voting administration. Officials are reportedly reviewing security protocols and legal protections for poll workers ahead of the vote.

A new Israeli election poll shows former military chief Gadi Eisenkot running even with Benjamin Netanyahu, while far-right finance minister Bezalel Smotrich's party reaches its highest support yet in polling. The figures suggest a shifting right-wing landscape ahead of Israel's next national vote, with Eisenkot emerging as a serious challenger and Smotrich consolidating support among hardline voters.

A California-based coalition has trained thousands of election monitors as the midterm elections approach. The effort aims to prepare volunteers to observe voting procedures and help ensure polls run smoothly. Election monitoring has drawn growing attention in the United States, with groups on various sides mobilizing around concerns over election administration and public confidence in results.

Michigan's US Senate race is narrowing, with Democrat Abdul El-Sayed holding a slim lead over Republican Mike Rogers heading into the campaign's final stretch. The contest, open after Gary Peters announced he would not seek re-election, is seen as critical to Senate control. Commentators point to a competitive race that could flip a seat Democrats need to hold to keep their majority.

A new poll taken one month before Israel's election shows the 'Change bloc' and Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc deadlocked at 52 seats each, suggesting neither side is positioned to secure a clear majority. With the vote weeks away, the tie underscores how narrowly divided Israeli voters remain and how coalition negotiations could ultimately decide who forms the next government.

A new poll shows New Zealand's Green Party at a record high level of support, raising the prospects of a centre-left coalition forming after the country's next election. Stronger Green numbers could prove decisive in whether Labour and its allies can command a parliamentary majority, making the party's surge a key factor in campaign calculations.

Attention is on the latest BTG Nexus presidential polling in Brazil after Quaest's CEO said Lula has again crossed the 50% probability threshold for reelection. The comment, reported by Metrópoles, has fueled discussion about the president's political recovery and how the race for the next presidential election is shaping up.

Senate Majority Leader John Thune is mapping out the chamber's final run of votes before the midterm elections, Politico reports. The scheduling choices he makes in the coming weeks will determine which priorities reach the floor and which are left until after voters go to the polls, with control of Congress at stake.

Cook County is recruiting election judges while Illinois prepares to deploy poll monitors ahead of the November 3 midterm election. Officials are working to staff polling places across the county, which includes Chicago, as the state readies oversight measures. The effort comes amid heightened national attention on election administration and voting procedures this campaign season.

Amid the ongoing controversy over the Special Intensive Revision (SIR) of electoral rolls, BJP leader Abhijeet Dipke has made a major announcement regarding Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar, according to Live Hindustan. The remarks have drawn attention as the Election Commission faces criticism from opposition parties over the SIR exercise, intensifying the political debate around the poll body's conduct.

A new report argues that prediction markets combined with AI tools are creating a fresh loophole in election polling, allowing forecasts and trading activity to fill gaps left by traditional surveys. It raises questions about how such data is regulated and whether it can be trusted as polls decline in coverage and reliability.

A group founded by former Republican congressman Adam Kinzinger has come out against stationing military personnel at polling places during elections. The organization argues that troops should not be deployed at voting sites, a stance reported by outlets including the Belleville News-Democrat and Yahoo News. The position adds to ongoing debate in the United States over the role of the military in civilian election administration.

A new poll shows Minogue narrowing the gap with Healey, though Healey remains the favorite heading into the general election. The Boston Herald reports the race is tightening as campaigning continues in Massachusetts, with observers watching whether Minogue's momentum can translate into a genuine challenge to Healey's lead among voters.

New polling suggests that Labour's approach to free speech could cost the party votes at the next UK general election. The Liberty human rights organisation highlighted the findings, arguing that the party's handling of free speech issues is alienating some voters. Details of the poll's methodology and sample have not been widely reported.

Researchers writing in The Conversation say deepfake content is distorting this year's Victorian state election in Australia. Their analysis identifies which groups of voters are most susceptible to manipulated audio and video, warning that synthetic media could influence how people judge candidates and parties ahead of polling day.