Geopolitical Monitor

Geopolitical Monitor argues that the EU's 2026 State of the Union address exposes the constraints on Europe's power. The analysis suggests the speech revealed gaps between the bloc's ambitions and its actual capacity in areas such as security, economic competitiveness and geopolitical influence, underlining continuing questions about the EU's ability to act independently on the world stage.

Analysis from Geopolitical Monitor examines how Europe is responding to Russia's gray-zone tactics — sabotage, cyberattacks, disinformation and other provocations that fall below the threshold of NATO's Article 5 collective defence clause. The piece argues European nations are building coordinated responses outside formal alliance mechanisms, as governments debate deterrence against deniable hostility that does not legally constitute an armed attack.