Atlas Poll

A new Atlas poll shows Jerônimo Rodrigues leading the 2026 Bahia governor's race with 51.5% of valid votes in the first round, while ACM Neto registers 47.4%. The survey points to a tight, two-candidate contest in one of Brazil's biggest states, fueling debate about the incumbent's re-election chances and the opposition's strength heading into next year's elections.

New polls show former justice minister Sergio Moro firmly ahead in the race for governor of Paraná, Brazil. A Quaest survey gives him 43% of valid votes, with Sandro Alex and Roberto Requião tied in a distant second place. An Atlas poll puts him even higher, at 44.7%, against 31.6% for Requião Filho and 20.2% for Sandro Alex. Outlets are highlighting the uncertainty over who will face him in a likely runoff.

Brazilian politician Ronaldo Caiado says he will discuss with his party which candidate to back in the presidential election's second round, after casting his vote in Nova Crixás alongside Samuel Kassab. Polls show an extremely tight runoff, with an Atlas survey putting Lula at 50.1% of valid votes against Flávio Bolsonaro's 49.9%, keeping Caiado's endorsement in the spotlight.

An Atlas Senate poll in Pará puts Helder in the lead with 27.1% of voting intentions in the race for the state's Senate seats. Éder follows with 21.2%, Chicão with 18.9% and Zequinha with 18.2%. With the race so tightly packed, voters and commentators are debating which candidates will take the state's two Senate seats.

New polling data from Brazil is drawing attention as attention turns to the 2026 presidential race. A CNN Brasil report cites survey figures showing Flávio Bolsonaro with 50% of voting intentions in a hypothetical second round against President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who registers 43%. Searches for the AtlasIntel pollster have surged as Brazilians follow the latest election numbers.

Goiás governor Ronaldo Caiado is drawing attention after his PSD freed its state branches to choose sides, saying the party will not back either Lula or Flávio Bolsonaro nationally in the presidential runoff. Caiado said he will speak with São Paulo mayor Ricardo Kassab before announcing any endorsement, and voted in Nova Crixás alongside him. Polls show an extremely tight race, with Atlas putting Lula at 50.1% of valid votes against 49.9% for Flávio Bolsonaro.

A new Atlas Intel poll in Brazil puts Lula at 45.3% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 42.2% in a first-round scenario for the 2026 presidential election, with the two statistically tied. In a second-round matchup, the survey shows the candidates even, underscoring how competitive the race has become. The numbers are fueling debate about Bolsonarismo's strength under a new standard-bearer and Lula's re-election prospects.

Cid Gomes holds 30.8% of valid votes in the race for a Senate seat in Ceará, according to an Atlas poll published by CNN Brasil. Luizianne Lins follows closely with 28.8%, keeping the contest tight. The figures are drawing attention in the state as the Senate race remains one of Brazil's most competitive.

A new Atlas poll shows Brazil's presidential race in a statistical tie, with former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro level in a hypothetical runoff scenario. The result suggests Brazil remains deeply polarised ahead of the next election, with neither camp able to break away despite shifting political dynamics.